Eredivisie · Feb 08, 2026 13:30

AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT

Ajax
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AZ Alkmaar Form WLWDL
STABLE
Ajax Form DDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS69%
Under 2.532%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Ajax Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.96
AZ Alkmaar
vs
1.23
Ajax
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
AZ Alkmaar
-3
Gap
#4
Ajax
WR 40% 32 pts WR 30% 38 pts
AZ Alkmaar 10.0%
Feb 03 AZ Alkm… v FC Twen… 2-1
Jan 31 AZ Alkm… v NEC Nij… 1-3
Jan 25 AZ Alkm… v Telstar 0-1
Jan 21 AZ Alkm… v Excelsi… 1-1
Jan 17 AZ Alkm… v PEC Zwo… 3-1
Jan 14 AZ Alkm… v Ajax 6-0
Jan 10 AZ Alkm… v FC Vole… 1-0
Dec 21 AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… 4-3
Dec 18 AZ Alkm… v Jagiell… 0-0
Dec 11 AZ Alkm… v Drita 0-3
Ajax 14.0%
Feb 01 Ajax v Excelsi… 2-2
Jan 28 Ajax v Olympia… 0-0
Jan 24 Ajax v FC Vole… 2-0
Jan 20 Ajax v Villarr… 1-2
Jan 17 Ajax v GO Ahea… 2-2
Jan 14 Ajax v AZ Alkm… 6-0
Jan 11 Ajax v Telstar 2-3
Jan 05 Ajax v Seraing… 4-0
Dec 20 Ajax v NEC Nij… 2-2
Dec 17 Ajax v Excelsi… 2-7
Head-to-Head (10)
Jan 14, 2026 AZ Alkmaar 6-0 Ajax
Oct 18, 2025 Ajax 0-2 AZ Alkmaar
Mar 16, 2025 Ajax 2-2 AZ Alkmaar
Jan 14, 2025 AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Ajax
Dec 08, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Ajax
Dec 08, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Ajax
Feb 25, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Ajax
Feb 25, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Ajax
Oct 08, 2023 Ajax 1-2 AZ Alkmaar
May 06, 2023 Ajax 0-0 AZ Alkmaar
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.