Eredivisie · Feb 08, 2026 13:30

AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35

Ajax
PWR 35

AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT

Ajax
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
2-0 (4%)
3-2 (4%)
2-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AZ Alkmaar Form
WLWDL
STABLE
Ajax Form
DDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS69%
Under 2.532%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Ajax Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.96
AZ Alkmaarvs
1.23
AjaxDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
AZ Alkmaar-3
Gap#4
Ajax
WR 40% 32 pts
WR 30% 38 pts
AZ Alkmaar
10.0%
| Feb 03 | AZ Alkm… v FC Twen… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | AZ Alkm… v NEC Nij… | 1-3 |
| Jan 25 | AZ Alkm… v Telstar | 0-1 |
| Jan 21 | AZ Alkm… v Excelsi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | AZ Alkm… v PEC Zwo… | 3-1 |
| Jan 14 | AZ Alkm… v Ajax | 6-0 |
| Jan 10 | AZ Alkm… v FC Vole… | 1-0 |
| Dec 21 | AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… | 4-3 |
| Dec 18 | AZ Alkm… v Jagiell… | 0-0 |
| Dec 11 | AZ Alkm… v Drita | 0-3 |
Ajax
14.0%
| Feb 01 | Ajax v Excelsi… | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Ajax v Olympia… | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | Ajax v FC Vole… | 2-0 |
| Jan 20 | Ajax v Villarr… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Ajax v GO Ahea… | 2-2 |
| Jan 14 | Ajax v AZ Alkm… | 6-0 |
| Jan 11 | Ajax v Telstar | 2-3 |
| Jan 05 | Ajax v Seraing… | 4-0 |
| Dec 20 | Ajax v NEC Nij… | 2-2 |
| Dec 17 | Ajax v Excelsi… | 2-7 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 14, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar | 6-0 | Ajax |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ajax | 0-2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Ajax | 2-2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Jan 14, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-0 | Ajax |
| Dec 08, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-1 | Ajax |
| Dec 08, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-1 | Ajax |
| Feb 25, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-0 | Ajax |
| Feb 25, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-0 | Ajax |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Ajax | 1-2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| May 06, 2023 | Ajax | 0-0 | AZ Alkmaar |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.