AI Match Insights

Eerste Divisie Feb 06, 2026

Emmen

Home
VS
19:00

Jong Utrecht

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Emmen Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Jong Utrecht Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 3.49 - 1.95
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.9
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Emmen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Jong Utrecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Emmen Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Emmen vs Den Bosch 1-1
Jan 17 Emmen vs FC OSS 4-0
Dec 20 Emmen vs Almere Ci… 4-2
Dec 12 Emmen vs Helmond S… 4-1
Dec 05 Emmen vs ADO Den H… 2-1
Nov 28 Emmen vs Jong AZ 4-2
Nov 22 Emmen vs Roda 1-1
Nov 15 Emmen vs Willem II 1-1
Nov 07 Emmen vs Jong Utre… 1-2
Nov 02 Emmen vs Waalwijk 2-2
Jong Utrecht Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Jong Utre… vs VVV Venlo 2-2
Jan 26 Jong Utre… vs Waalwijk 2-2
Jan 23 Jong Utre… vs MVV Maast… 2-2
Jan 19 Jong Utre… vs Jong PSV 5-3
Dec 22 Jong Utre… vs Roda 1-3
Dec 12 Jong Utre… vs Jong AZ 1-4
Dec 08 Jong Utre… vs De Graafs… 2-3
Nov 28 Jong Utre… vs Dordrecht 1-2
Nov 24 Jong Utre… vs Den Bosch 3-2
Nov 21 Jong Utre… vs Jong PSV 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Emmen struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 07, 2025 Jong Utrecht 1 - 2 Emmen Eerste Divisie
Mar 14, 2025 Emmen 2 - 0 Jong Utrecht Eerste Divisie
Aug 30, 2024 Jong Utrecht 1 - 2 Emmen Eerste Divisie
Mar 15, 2024 Jong Utrecht 2 - 3 Emmen Eerste Divisie
Sep 18, 2023 Emmen 2 - 0 Jong Utrecht Eerste Divisie
Mar 11, 2022 Emmen 2 - 0 Jong Utrecht Eerste Divisie
Oct 01, 2021 Jong Utrecht 0 - 1 Emmen Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Emmen Power 0
Jong Utrecht Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Emmen Position

-3

Position Gap

11

Jong Utrecht Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.