Eerste Divisie · Feb 06, 2026 19:00

De Graafschap
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT

Jong Ajax
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
De Graafschap Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
76%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WON - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 76%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 76% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
De Graafschap Form DDLLW
STABLE
Jong Ajax Form WDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.573%
BTTS72%
Under 2.527%
De Graafsch… Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Jong Ajax Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
De Graafschap
vs
1.51
Jong Ajax
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings87%
Market66%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
De Graafsch…
+17
Gap
#20
Jong Ajax
WR 46% 42 pts WR 8% 19 pts
De Graafschap 8.0%
Jan 31 De Graa… v Helmond… 0-0
Jan 26 De Graa… v Den Bos… 1-1
Jan 23 De Graa… v Waalwijk 2-4
Jan 18 De Graa… v Almere … 2-0
Dec 20 De Graa… v FC OSS 2-3
Dec 12 De Graa… v Roda 2-3
Dec 08 De Graa… v Jong Ut… 2-3
Dec 04 De Graa… v Vitesse 1-2
Nov 30 De Graa… v FC Eind… 2-0
Nov 25 De Graa… v ADO Den… 3-2
Jong Ajax 10.0%
Feb 02 Jong Aj… v Willem … 2-1
Jan 19 Jong Aj… v Roda 2-2
Jan 12 Jong Aj… v Jong AZ 1-2
Dec 22 Jong Aj… v Waalwijk 0-2
Dec 12 Jong Aj… v MVV Maa… 2-1
Dec 05 Jong Aj… v Almere … 3-2
Dec 01 Jong Aj… v Vitesse 2-0
Nov 24 Jong Aj… v Helmond… 2-1
Nov 21 Jong Aj… v FC Eind… 1-3
Nov 07 Jong Aj… v Dordrec… 0-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Oct 03, 2025 Jong Ajax 2-2 De Graafschap
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.