Eerste Divisie · Feb 06, 2026 19:00

De Graafschap
PWR 35

Jong Ajax
PWR 35

De Graafschap
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT

Jong Ajax
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
De Graafschap Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
76%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WON - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 76%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 76% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
De Graafschap Form
DDLLW
STABLE
Jong Ajax Form
WDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.573%
BTTS72%
Under 2.527%
De Graafsch… Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Jong Ajax Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
De Graafschapvs
1.51
Jong AjaxDecision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings87%
Market66%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
De Graafsch…+17
Gap#20
Jong Ajax
WR 46% 42 pts
WR 8% 19 pts
De Graafschap
8.0%
| Jan 31 | De Graa… v Helmond… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | De Graa… v Den Bos… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | De Graa… v Waalwijk | 2-4 |
| Jan 18 | De Graa… v Almere … | 2-0 |
| Dec 20 | De Graa… v FC OSS | 2-3 |
| Dec 12 | De Graa… v Roda | 2-3 |
| Dec 08 | De Graa… v Jong Ut… | 2-3 |
| Dec 04 | De Graa… v Vitesse | 1-2 |
| Nov 30 | De Graa… v FC Eind… | 2-0 |
| Nov 25 | De Graa… v ADO Den… | 3-2 |
Jong Ajax
10.0%
| Feb 02 | Jong Aj… v Willem … | 2-1 |
| Jan 19 | Jong Aj… v Roda | 2-2 |
| Jan 12 | Jong Aj… v Jong AZ | 1-2 |
| Dec 22 | Jong Aj… v Waalwijk | 0-2 |
| Dec 12 | Jong Aj… v MVV Maa… | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | Jong Aj… v Almere … | 3-2 |
| Dec 01 | Jong Aj… v Vitesse | 2-0 |
| Nov 24 | Jong Aj… v Helmond… | 2-1 |
| Nov 21 | Jong Aj… v FC Eind… | 1-3 |
| Nov 07 | Jong Aj… v Dordrec… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 03, 2025 | Jong Ajax | 2-2 | De Graafschap |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.