First Division · Jan 25, 2026 17:00
Pafos FC
PWR 35
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
Pafos FC
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Pafos FC to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (20%)
1-0 (18%)
3-0 (14%)
0-0 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Pafos FC Form
LLWWL
DOWN
AEK Larnaca Form
WLLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS24%
Under 2.557%
Pafos FC Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
AEK Larnaca Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Pafos FCvs
0.31
AEK LarnacaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings48%
Market47%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Pafos FC-1
Gap#2
AEK Larnaca
WR 80% 40 pts
WR 60% 43 pts
Pafos FC
8.0%
| Jan 21 | Pafos FC v Chelsea | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Pafos FC v Olympia… | 2-0 |
| Jan 12 | Pafos FC v Omonia … | 2-0 |
| Jan 07 | Pafos FC v Aris | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Pafos FC v Apollon… | 2-1 |
| Dec 14 | Pafos FC v Enosis | 0-2 |
| Dec 10 | Pafos FC v Juventus | 2-0 |
| Dec 05 | Pafos FC v Akritas | 4-0 |
| Nov 30 | Pafos FC v Digenis… | 2-3 |
| Nov 26 | Pafos FC v Monaco | 2-2 |
AEK Larnaca
12.0%
| Jan 18 | AEK Lar… v Digenis… | 2-1 |
| Jan 14 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | AEK Lar… v Aris | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | AEK Lar… v Anortho… | 4-0 |
| Dec 22 | AEK Lar… v AEL | 0-1 |
| Dec 15 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 1-1 |
| Dec 11 | AEK Lar… v BK Häck… | 1-1 |
| Dec 06 | AEK Lar… v Ethniko… | 2-1 |
| Dec 01 | AEK Lar… v Akritas | 1-1 |
| Nov 27 | AEK Lar… v HNK Rij… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 30, 2025 | Pafos FC | 1-1 | AEK Larnaca |
| Oct 05, 2025 | AEK Larnaca | 2-4 | Pafos FC |
| May 24, 2025 | Pafos FC | 0-0 | AEK Larnaca |
| May 18, 2025 | Pafos FC | 2-0 | AEK Larnaca |
| Apr 13, 2025 | AEK Larnaca | 2-2 | Pafos FC |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Pafos FC | 0-1 | AEK Larnaca |
| Sep 01, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 0-2 | Pafos FC |
| Apr 06, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 3-0 | Pafos FC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Pafos FC | 0-1 | AEK Larnaca |
| Jan 22, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 1-0 | Pafos FC |
Key Factors
AEK Larnaca in strong form (3W in last 5)
Pafos FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.