AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligat Ha'al Feb 01, 2026

Hapoel Petah Tikva

Home
VS
18:00

Ashdod

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Hapoel Petah Tikva Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Ashdod Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 62%
Market 51%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 42%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.75
xG: 3.47 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.4 Position gap: 5 places Asian Handicap: Home -0.75
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Petah Tikva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Ashdod Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Hapoel Petah Tikva Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 23 Hapoel Pe… vs Hapoel Ka… 2-1
Jan 17 Hapoel Pe… vs Beitar Je… 1-3
Jan 13 Hapoel Pe… vs Maccabi B… 1-2
Jan 10 Hapoel Pe… vs Ironi Tib… 1-4
Jan 03 Hapoel Pe… vs Maccabi T… 4-1
Dec 31 Hapoel Pe… vs Maccabi H… 0-2
Dec 25 Hapoel Pe… vs Hapoel Ir… 2-1
Dec 20 Hapoel Pe… vs Ironi Kir… 4-1
Dec 15 Hapoel Pe… vs Maccabi T… 2-2
Dec 06 Hapoel Pe… vs Hapoel Te… 4-0
Ashdod Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Ashdod vs Beitar Je… 1-1
Jan 17 Ashdod vs Maccabi T… 0-0
Jan 11 Ashdod vs Ironi Kir… 2-5
Jan 04 Ashdod vs Hapoel Te… 1-0
Dec 31 Ashdod vs Maccabi H… 0-4
Dec 25 Ashdod vs Hapoel Te… 3-0
Dec 20 Ashdod vs Bnei Sakh… 3-0
Dec 13 Ashdod vs Hapoel Ka… 0-2
Dec 08 Ashdod vs Ironi Tib… 1-1
Dec 03 Ashdod vs Maccabi H… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hapoel Petah Tikva struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Ashdod struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 25, 2025 Ashdod 1 - 1 Hapoel Petah Tikva Ligat Ha'al
Aug 05, 2025 Ashdod 0 - 3 Hapoel Petah Tikva Toto Cup Ligat…
Apr 27, 2024 Ashdod 1 - 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Ligat Ha'al
Feb 10, 2024 Ashdod 2 - 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Ligat Ha'al
Dec 09, 2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva 1 - 1 Ashdod Ligat Ha'al
Aug 12, 2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva 0 - 1 Ashdod Toto Cup Ligat…
Feb 28, 2023 Ashdod 4 - 2 Hapoel Petah Tikva State Cup
Jan 31, 2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva 1 - 1 Ashdod State Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Hapoel Petah Tikva to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hapoel Petah Tikva Power 0
Ashdod Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Hapoel Petah Tikva Position

+5

Position Gap

11

Ashdod Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.