AI Match Insights

Thai League 1 Feb 06, 2026

Buriram United

Home
VS
12:00

Ayutthaya FC

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Buriram United Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Ayutthaya FC Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 11%
xG: 4.50 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Buriram United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Ayutthaya FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Buriram United Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Buriram U… vs Dynamic H… 6-0
Feb 01 Buriram U… vs Bangkok U… 0-2
Jan 28 Buriram U… vs Tampines … 1-4
Jan 21 Buriram U… vs Prachuap 3-2
Jan 18 Buriram U… vs Chiangrai… 8-1
Jan 14 Buriram U… vs Pattani 4-0
Jan 09 Buriram U… vs Uthai Tha… 0-1
Jan 04 Buriram U… vs Prachuap 1-1
Dec 24 Buriram U… vs Sukhothai… 0-1
Dec 14 Buriram U… vs Port FC 1-0
Ayutthaya FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Ayutthaya… vs Rayong FC 1-0
Jan 28 Ayutthaya… vs Port FC 2-1
Jan 24 Ayutthaya… vs Chiangrai… 0-0
Jan 17 Ayutthaya… vs Uthai Tha… 0-1
Jan 11 Ayutthaya… vs Muangthon… 0-1
Dec 14 Ayutthaya… vs Bangkok G… 3-1
Dec 06 Ayutthaya… vs Prachuap 4-4
Nov 29 Ayutthaya… vs Lamphun W… 1-1
Nov 23 Ayutthaya… vs Nakhon Ra… 0-1
Nov 09 Ayutthaya… vs Ratchaburi 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Buriram United in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Ayutthaya FC 1 - 4 Buriram United Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Buriram United to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Buriram United Power 0
Ayutthaya FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Buriram United Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Ayutthaya FC Position

Home Win Rate: 83%
Away Win Rate: 32%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.