AI Match Insights

Thai League 1 Feb 01, 2026

Ratchaburi

Home
VS
11:30

Muangthong United

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Ratchaburi Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Muangthong United Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 68% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 2.97 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 12 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Ratchaburi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Muangthong United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Ratchaburi Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Ratchaburi vs Prachuap 0-0
Jan 25 Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Ra… 3-0
Jan 24 Ratchaburi vs Port FC 2-1
Jan 18 Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Ra… 1-0
Jan 17 Ratchaburi vs Muangthon… 3-0
Jan 14 Ratchaburi vs Sisaket U… 1-3
Jan 14 Ratchaburi vs Bangkok G… 3-1
Jan 11 Ratchaburi vs Chonburi … 1-0
Jan 10 Ratchaburi vs Bangkok G… 1-1
Dec 28 Ratchaburi vs Pattani 2-0
Muangthong United Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Muangthon… vs Rayong FC 1-3
Jan 21 Muangthon… vs Bangkok G… 0-2
Jan 17 Muangthon… vs Ratchaburi 3-0
Jan 11 Muangthon… vs Ayutthaya… 0-1
Dec 20 Muangthon… vs Lamphun W… 0-1
Dec 14 Muangthon… vs Bangkok G… 3-0
Dec 06 Muangthon… vs Chonburi … 2-3
Nov 29 Muangthon… vs Chiangrai… 0-2
Nov 22 Muangthon… vs Buriram U… 0-5
Nov 08 Muangthon… vs Uthai Tha… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Muangthong United struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2026 Ratchaburi 3 - 0 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Sep 21, 2025 Muangthong United 1 - 3 Ratchaburi Thai League 1
Aug 31, 2025 Muangthong United 2 - 0 Ratchaburi Thai League 1
May 10, 2025 Muangthong United 3 - 2 Ratchaburi FA Cup
Jan 19, 2025 Ratchaburi 1 - 0 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Aug 28, 2024 Muangthong United 2 - 0 Ratchaburi Thai League 1
May 11, 2024 Ratchaburi 1 - 2 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Dec 16, 2023 Muangthong United 1 - 1 Ratchaburi Thai League 1
May 12, 2023 Muangthong United 4 - 0 Ratchaburi Thai League 1
Aug 13, 2022 Ratchaburi 1 - 0 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Final Verdict

PRO: Ratchaburi to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ratchaburi Power 0
Muangthong United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Ratchaburi Position

+12

Position Gap

14

Muangthong United Position

Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 16%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.