AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Feb 02, 2026

PSM Makassar

Home
VS
12:00

Semen Padang

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
PSM Makassar Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Semen Padang Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.45 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
PSM Makassar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Semen Padang Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
PSM Makassar Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 PSM Makas… vs Persijap 2-0
Jan 09 PSM Makas… vs Bali Unit… 0-2
Jan 03 PSM Makas… vs Pusamania… 2-1
Dec 27 PSM Makas… vs Persib Ba… 1-0
Dec 21 PSM Makas… vs Malut Uni… 0-1
Dec 06 PSM Makas… vs Persebaya… 1-1
Nov 29 PSM Makas… vs Persis So… 3-4
Nov 21 PSM Makas… vs PSBS Biak… 5-0
Nov 09 PSM Makas… vs Dewa Unit… 0-1
Nov 02 PSM Makas… vs Persepam … 1-1
Semen Padang Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Semen Pad… vs Bali Unit… 3-3
Jan 11 Semen Pad… vs Persis So… 2-3
Jan 04 Semen Pad… vs PSIM Yogy… 1-0
Dec 28 Semen Pad… vs Persepam … 5-1
Dec 22 Semen Pad… vs Persija J… 1-0
Nov 27 Semen Pad… vs Persik Ke… 2-1
Nov 20 Semen Pad… vs Persijap 1-2
Nov 09 Semen Pad… vs Pusamania… 0-2
Nov 03 Semen Pad… vs Arema FC 1-2
Oct 26 Semen Pad… vs Malut Uni… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • PSM Makassar struggling (5L in last 5) Home
  • Semen Padang struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 22, 2025 Semen Padang 1 - 1 PSM Makassar Liga 1
Apr 10, 2025 PSM Makassar 2 - 0 Semen Padang Liga 1
Nov 21, 2024 Semen Padang 1 - 1 PSM Makassar Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: PSM Makassar to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
PSM Makassar Power 0
Semen Padang Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

PSM Makassar Position

+3

Position Gap

16

Semen Padang Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.