AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Feb 02, 2026

Arema FC

Home
VS
08:30

Persijap

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Arema FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Persijap Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.52 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.7 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arema FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Persijap Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Arema FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Arema FC vs Dewa Unit… 2-0
Jan 11 Arema FC vs Persik Ke… 2-1
Jan 04 Arema FC vs Bali Unit… 1-0
Dec 30 Arema FC vs Persita 0-1
Dec 23 Arema FC vs Persepam … 2-2
Nov 29 Arema FC vs Malut Uni… 1-1
Nov 22 Arema FC vs Persebaya… 1-1
Nov 08 Arema FC vs Persija J… 1-2
Nov 03 Arema FC vs Semen Pad… 1-2
Oct 26 Arema FC vs Pusamania… 1-3
Persijap Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Persijap vs PSM Makas… 2-0
Jan 12 Persijap vs Dewa Unit… 0-3
Jan 03 Persijap vs Persija J… 2-0
Dec 28 Persijap vs Persebaya… 4-0
Dec 23 Persijap vs PSIM Yogy… 1-1
Nov 27 Persijap vs PSBS Biak… 3-2
Nov 20 Persijap vs Semen Pad… 1-2
Nov 09 Persijap vs Persepam … 2-1
Nov 03 Persijap vs Malut Uni… 1-2
Oct 27 Persijap vs Bhayangka… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arema FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Persijap struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2025 Persijap 0 - 0 Arema FC Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Arema FC to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 88
Arema FC Power 0
Persijap Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Arema FC Position

+6

Position Gap

17

Persijap Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.