AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Feb 01, 2026

Persebaya Surabaya

Home
VS
12:00

Dewa United

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Persebaya Surabaya Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Dewa United Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 2.98 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.4 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Persebaya Surabaya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Dewa United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Persebaya Surabaya Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Persebaya… vs PSIM Yogy… 0-3
Jan 10 Persebaya… vs Malut Uni… 2-1
Jan 03 Persebaya… vs Persepam … 0-1
Dec 28 Persebaya… vs Persijap 4-0
Dec 20 Persebaya… vs Pusamania… 2-2
Dec 06 Persebaya… vs PSM Makas… 1-1
Nov 28 Persebaya… vs Bhayangka… 1-1
Nov 22 Persebaya… vs Arema FC 1-1
Nov 07 Persebaya… vs Persik Ke… 1-1
Nov 02 Persebaya… vs Persis So… 2-1
Dewa United Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Dewa Unit… vs Arema FC 2-0
Jan 12 Dewa Unit… vs Persijap 0-3
Jan 05 Dewa Unit… vs Bhayangka… 1-0
Dec 29 Dewa Unit… vs Bali Unit… 0-0
Dec 20 Dewa Unit… vs Persis So… 5-1
Nov 29 Dewa Unit… vs Persita 1-0
Nov 21 Dewa Unit… vs Persib Ba… 1-0
Nov 09 Dewa Unit… vs PSM Makas… 0-1
Nov 05 Dewa Unit… vs Pusamania… 4-0
Nov 01 Dewa Unit… vs Sepahan FC 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Persebaya Surabaya in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Dewa United in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 26, 2025 Dewa United 1 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya Liga 1
Feb 21, 2025 Dewa United 2 - 0 Persebaya Surabaya Liga 1
Sep 27, 2024 Persebaya Surabaya 0 - 0 Dewa United Liga 1
Apr 16, 2024 Persebaya Surabaya 0 - 3 Dewa United Liga 1
Sep 30, 2023 Dewa United 1 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya Liga 1
Apr 15, 2023 Persebaya Surabaya 3 - 0 Dewa United Liga 1
Dec 24, 2022 Dewa United 1 - 2 Persebaya Surabaya Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Persebaya Surabaya to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Persebaya Surabaya Power 0
Dewa United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Persebaya Surabaya Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Dewa United Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.