AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Feb 01, 2026

Newcastle Jets Women

Home
VS
06:00

Wellington Phoenix Women

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Newcastle Jets Women Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Wellington Phoenix Women Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 0.82 - 1.17
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newcastle Jets Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Wellington Phoenix Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (16%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Newcastle Jets Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Newcastle… vs Adelaide … 1-2
Jan 16 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 1-3
Jan 13 Newcastle… vs Sydney FC… 1-2
Jan 10 Newcastle… vs Central C… 1-2
Jan 03 Newcastle… vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Dec 27 Newcastle… vs Canberra … 0-1
Dec 19 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 1-3
Dec 13 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 3-0
Dec 07 Newcastle… vs Central C… 4-1
Nov 22 Newcastle… vs Western S… 1-0
Wellington Phoenix Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 3-1
Jan 17 Wellingto… vs Canberra … 0-2
Jan 10 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 1-2
Jan 03 Wellingto… vs Brisbane … 2-2
Dec 30 Wellingto… vs Western S… 0-3
Dec 20 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 7-0
Dec 12 Wellingto… vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Dec 07 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Nov 23 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Nov 16 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Wellington Phoenix Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Newcastle Jets Women struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 16, 2025 Wellington Phoenix … 1 - 1 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Jan 19, 2025 Wellington Phoenix … 3 - 2 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Nov 17, 2024 Newcastle Jets Women 1 - 0 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Feb 04, 2024 Newcastle Jets Women 3 - 2 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Dec 23, 2023 Wellington Phoenix … 2 - 0 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Mar 25, 2023 Newcastle Jets Women 3 - 2 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Dec 27, 2021 Wellington Phoenix … 0 - 1 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Dec 10, 2021 Newcastle Jets Women 5 - 1 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newcastle Jets Women Power 0
Wellington Phoenix Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Newcastle Jets Women Position

-6

Position Gap

3

Wellington Phoenix Women Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.