AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Feb 08, 2026

Adelaide United

Home
VS
06:00

Newcastle Jets

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Adelaide United Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Newcastle Jets Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 35% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 0.86 - 2.54
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Adelaide United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Newcastle Jets Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 0-3 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 1-3 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Adelaide United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Adelaide … vs Macarthur… 1-1
Jan 24 Adelaide … vs Brisbane … 2-3
Jan 17 Adelaide … vs Melbourne… 2-1
Jan 11 Adelaide … vs Wellingto… 2-2
Jan 04 Adelaide … vs Central C… 0-4
Dec 27 Adelaide … vs Western S… 3-2
Dec 20 Adelaide … vs Perth Glo… 0-1
Dec 13 Adelaide … vs Melbourne… 2-1
Dec 07 Adelaide … vs Brisbane … 0-1
Nov 29 Adelaide … vs Wellingto… 2-1
Newcastle Jets Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 4-1
Jan 23 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 4-1
Jan 17 Newcastle… vs Western S… 1-2
Jan 11 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Jan 01 Newcastle… vs Auckland 1-3
Dec 26 Newcastle… vs Macarthur… 4-5
Dec 20 Newcastle… vs Sydney 2-0
Dec 14 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 1-3
Dec 06 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Nov 30 Newcastle… vs Auckland 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Newcastle Jets in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 15, 2024 Newcastle Jets 0 - 1 Adelaide United A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Adelaide United Power 0
Newcastle Jets Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Adelaide United Position

-4

Position Gap

1

Newcastle Jets Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 71%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.