Liga Premier Serie A · Feb 07, 2026 21:30
Deportiva Venados
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Celaya
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (27%) 0-0 (24%) 0-2 (15%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 0-3 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Deportiva Vena… Form DLWWW
STABLE
Celaya Form WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.517%
BTTS17%
Under 2.583%
Deportiva V… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Celaya Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Deportiva Vena…
vs
1.11
Celaya
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum38%
Standings48%
Market51%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Deportiva V…
-1
Gap
#2
Celaya
WR 71% 31 pts WR 50% 35 pts
Deportiva Vena… 14.0%
Jan 31 Deporti… v Chapuli… 1-1
Jan 24 Deporti… v Racing … 0-2
Jan 17 Deporti… v Tapachu… 2-3
Nov 21 Deporti… v Neza 1-5
Nov 15 Deporti… v Mexical… 8-1
Nov 08 Deporti… v Cañoner… 0-4
Oct 25 Deporti… v Pionero… 2-2
Oct 21 Deporti… v Jaguare… 2-1
Oct 11 Deporti… v Montañe… 3-0
Oct 04 Deporti… v Inter P… 0-0
Celaya 20.0%
Feb 01 Celaya v Neza 6-0
Jan 24 Celaya v Mexical… 0-2
Jan 18 Celaya v Cañoner… 3-0
Jan 10 Celaya v Pionero… 0-2
Nov 23 Celaya v Jaguare… 0-1
Nov 16 Celaya v Montañe… 1-0
Nov 08 Celaya v Inter P… 0-2
Oct 26 Celaya v Héroes … 4-0
Oct 11 Celaya v Chapuli… 0-0
Oct 05 Celaya v Racing … 0-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 21, 2025 Celaya 1-2 Deportiva Ven…
Key Factors
Deportiva Venados in strong form (3W in last 5)
Celaya in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.