AI Match Insights

Liga Premier Serie A Feb 07, 2026

Leones Negros

Home
VS
17:00

Reboceros La Piedad

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Leones Negros Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Reboceros La Piedad Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 3.21 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.4 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Leones Negros Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Reboceros La Piedad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Leones Negros Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Leones Ne… vs Colima 0-2
Jan 24 Leones Ne… vs UA Zacate… 0-1
Jan 17 Leones Ne… vs Los Cabos… 2-0
Jan 11 Leones Ne… vs Tigres de… 1-0
Nov 22 Leones Ne… vs Tritons V… 1-0
Nov 15 Leones Ne… vs Tecos 2-1
Nov 09 Leones Ne… vs Guerreros 4-5
Oct 25 Leones Ne… vs Mineros d… 2-1
Oct 18 Leones Ne… vs Cimarrones 1-0
Oct 11 Leones Ne… vs Ensenada 3-0
Reboceros La Piedad Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Reboceros… vs Los Cabos… 0-1
Jan 25 Reboceros… vs Tigres de… 2-1
Jan 18 Reboceros… vs Tritons V… 0-2
Jan 09 Reboceros… vs Tecos 4-1
Nov 22 Reboceros… vs Guerreros 3-1
Nov 18 Reboceros… vs Mineros d… 2-2
Nov 08 Reboceros… vs Cimarrones 0-0
Oct 26 Reboceros… vs Ensenada 3-1
Oct 19 Reboceros… vs Acatlan 1-3
Oct 12 Reboceros… vs Durango 0-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Leones Negros struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Reboceros La Piedad struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2025 Reboceros La Piedad 1 - 2 Leones Negros Liga Premier S…
Feb 12, 2021 Reboceros La Piedad 4 - 0 Leones Negros Liga Premier S…
Oct 17, 2020 Leones Negros 0 - 1 Reboceros La Piedad Liga Premier S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Leones Negros Power 0
Reboceros La Piedad Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Leones Negros Position

+7

Position Gap

12

Reboceros La Piedad Position

Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.