AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Mineiro - 1 Feb 07, 2026

Atletico-MG

Home
VS
21:30

Athletic Club

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Atletico-MG Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Athletic Club Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.57 - 0.99
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atletico-MG Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Athletic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Atletico-MG Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Atletico-… vs RB Bragan… 1-0
Jan 31 Atletico-… vs Pouso Ale… 1-3
Jan 28 Atletico-… vs Palmeiras 2-2
Jan 25 Atletico-… vs Cruzeiro 2-1
Jan 22 Atletico-… vs América M… 1-1
Jan 18 Atletico-… vs Tombense 0-0
Jan 14 Atletico-… vs North Esp… 1-1
Jan 11 Atletico-… vs Betim 1-1
Dec 04 Atletico-… vs Palmeiras 0-3
Nov 30 Atletico-… vs Fortaleza 1-0
Athletic Club Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Athletic … vs Uberlândia 0-3
Jan 25 Athletic … vs Betim 1-1
Jan 21 Athletic … vs Pouso Ale… 3-4
Jan 17 Athletic … vs Democrata… 0-0
Jan 14 Athletic … vs Uniao Tra… 0-1
Jan 11 Athletic … vs América M… 3-0
Nov 15 Athletic … vs Corinthia… 0-0
Nov 07 Athletic … vs Ferroviár… 2-1
Nov 01 Athletic … vs Avaí 2-1
Oct 25 Athletic … vs América M… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atletico-MG to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atletico-MG Power 0
Athletic Club Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Atletico-MG Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Athletic Club Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.