AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Feb 08, 2026

Corinthians

Home
VS
23:30

Palmeiras

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Corinthians Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Palmeiras Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.40 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.4
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Corinthians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Palmeiras Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (14%) 2-1 (7%) 0-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Corinthians Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Corinthia… vs Flamengo 0-1
Jan 28 Corinthia… vs Bahia 1-2
Jan 25 Corinthia… vs Velo Clube 0-1
Jan 22 Corinthia… vs Santos 1-1
Jan 18 Corinthia… vs São Paulo… 1-1
Jan 15 Corinthia… vs RB Bragan… 3-0
Jan 11 Corinthia… vs Ponte Pre… 3-0
Dec 18 Corinthia… vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Dec 14 Corinthia… vs Cruzeiro 1-2
Dec 11 Corinthia… vs Cruzeiro 0-1
Palmeiras Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Palmeiras vs Vitoria 5-1
Feb 01 Palmeiras vs Botafogo … 1-0
Jan 31 Palmeiras vs Araguaína 0-1
Jan 28 Palmeiras vs Atletico-… 2-2
Jan 24 Palmeiras vs São Paulo… 3-1
Jan 24 Palmeiras vs União Cac… 0-2
Jan 20 Palmeiras vs Novorizon… 4-0
Jan 17 Palmeiras vs Mirassol 1-0
Jan 17 Palmeiras vs Gurupi 1-0
Jan 14 Palmeiras vs Santos 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Palmeiras in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 02, 2025 Corinthians 2 - 3 Palmeiras Brasileiro U17
Aug 31, 2025 Corinthians 1 - 1 Palmeiras Serie A
Aug 07, 2025 Palmeiras 0 - 2 Corinthians Copa do Brasil
Jul 31, 2025 Corinthians 1 - 0 Palmeiras Copa do Brasil
Apr 12, 2025 Palmeiras 2 - 0 Corinthians Serie A
Sep 08, 2024 Corinthians 1 - 2 Palmeiras Brasileiro Wom…
Sep 01, 2024 Palmeiras 1 - 3 Corinthians Brasileiro Wom…
Jun 09, 2024 Palmeiras 0 - 1 Corinthians Brasileiro Wom…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Corinthians Power 0
Palmeiras Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Corinthians Position

-5

Position Gap

2

Palmeiras Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.