AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Feb 08, 2026

Capivariano

Home
VS
21:30

Mirassol

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Capivariano Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Mirassol Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 2.33 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Capivariano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Mirassol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Capivariano Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Capivaria… vs Primavera… 1-2
Jan 21 Capivaria… vs Noroeste 1-1
Jan 17 Capivaria… vs Ponte Pre… 2-0
Jan 14 Capivaria… vs Portuguesa 1-0
Jan 10 Capivaria… vs São Berna… 4-0
Apr 05 Capivaria… vs Primavera… 1-2
Apr 02 Capivaria… vs Primavera… 0-0
Mar 29 Capivaria… vs Ituano 3-1
Mar 23 Capivaria… vs Ituano 0-1
Feb 26 Capivaria… vs Juventude 2-2
Mirassol Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Mirassol vs Remo 2-2
Feb 02 Mirassol vs Novorizon… 1-1
Jan 29 Mirassol vs Vasco DA … 2-1
Jan 24 Mirassol vs São Berna… 0-4
Jan 21 Mirassol vs RB Bragan… 0-0
Jan 17 Mirassol vs Palmeiras 1-0
Jan 14 Mirassol vs Primavera… 3-1
Jan 11 Mirassol vs São Paulo… 3-0
Dec 02 Mirassol vs Vasco DA … 0-2
Nov 29 Mirassol vs Vitoria 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Capivariano Power 0
Mirassol Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Capivariano Position

-5

Position Gap

6

Mirassol Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.