AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Feb 07, 2026

São Paulo FC

Home
VS
23:30

Primavera SP

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
São Paulo FC Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Primavera SP Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.29 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
São Paulo FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Primavera SP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
São Paulo FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 São Paulo… vs Santos 1-1
Jan 31 São Paulo… vs Santos 2-0
Jan 29 São Paulo… vs Flamengo 2-1
Jan 24 São Paulo… vs Palmeiras 3-1
Jan 21 São Paulo… vs Portuguesa 2-3
Jan 18 São Paulo… vs Corinthia… 1-1
Jan 16 São Paulo… vs São Berna… 1-0
Jan 11 São Paulo… vs Mirassol 3-0
Dec 03 São Paulo… vs Internaci… 3-0
Nov 30 São Paulo… vs Apafut 1-1
Primavera SP Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Primavera… vs Portuguesa 1-2
Jan 25 Primavera… vs Capivaria… 1-2
Jan 22 Primavera… vs Botafogo … 1-0
Jan 17 Primavera… vs Novorizon… 3-4
Jan 14 Primavera… vs Mirassol 3-1
Jan 10 Primavera… vs Guaraní C… 1-1
Oct 11 Primavera… vs XV de Pir… 2-0
Sep 28 Primavera… vs Grêmio Pr… 2-1
Sep 20 Primavera… vs Grêmio Pr… 1-0
Sep 12 Primavera… vs União São… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Primavera SP struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
São Paulo FC Power 0
Primavera SP Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

São Paulo FC Position

-2

Position Gap

10

Primavera SP Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.