AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Feb 07, 2026

Novorizontino

Home
VS
21:30

São Bernardo

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Novorizontino Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
São Bernardo Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.84 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Novorizontino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
São Bernardo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Novorizontino Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Novorizon… vs Mirassol 1-1
Jan 25 Novorizon… vs Botafogo … 2-0
Jan 20 Novorizon… vs Palmeiras 4-0
Jan 17 Novorizon… vs Primavera… 3-4
Jan 13 Novorizon… vs Guaraní C… 2-0
Jan 10 Novorizon… vs Santos 2-1
Nov 22 Novorizon… vs CRB 3-0
Nov 16 Novorizon… vs Goiás 1-0
Nov 08 Novorizon… vs Remo 1-1
Nov 03 Novorizon… vs América M… 2-2
São Bernardo Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 São Berna… vs RB Bragan… 1-1
Jan 24 São Berna… vs Mirassol 0-4
Jan 22 São Berna… vs Ponte Pre… 0-1
Jan 18 São Berna… vs Noroeste 1-1
Jan 16 São Berna… vs São Paulo… 1-0
Jan 10 São Berna… vs Capivaria… 4-0
Oct 11 São Berna… vs Londrina 1-1
Oct 05 São Berna… vs Caxias 1-0
Sep 28 São Berna… vs Floresta 0-0
Sep 21 São Berna… vs Floresta 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Novorizontino in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 06, 2025 São Bernardo 1 - 1 Novorizontino Paulista - A1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Novorizontino to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Novorizontino Power 0
São Bernardo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Novorizontino Position

+7

Position Gap

8

São Bernardo Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.