AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Feb 07, 2026

Portuguesa

Home
VS
19:00

Ponte Preta

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Portuguesa Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Ponte Preta Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 75%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.02 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Portuguesa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Ponte Preta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (30%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Under 2.5 Goals 88%
Portuguesa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Portuguesa vs Primavera… 1-2
Jan 26 Portuguesa vs Guaraní C… 0-1
Jan 21 Portuguesa vs São Paulo… 2-3
Jan 17 Portuguesa vs Velo Clube 2-0
Jan 14 Portuguesa vs Capivaria… 1-0
Jan 10 Portuguesa vs Palmeiras 0-1
Jan 22 Portuguesa vs Ponte Pre… 0-0
Jan 31 Portuguesa vs Ponte Pre… 0-2
Ponte Preta Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Ponte Pre… vs Guaraní C… 1-0
Jan 24 Ponte Pre… vs Noroeste 2-2
Jan 22 Ponte Pre… vs São Berna… 0-1
Jan 17 Ponte Pre… vs Capivaria… 2-0
Jan 15 Ponte Pre… vs Velo Clube 0-1
Jan 11 Ponte Pre… vs Corinthia… 3-0
Oct 18 Ponte Pre… vs Londrina 0-0
Oct 11 Ponte Pre… vs Guaraní C… 2-0
Oct 04 Ponte Pre… vs Brusque 2-1
Sep 27 Ponte Pre… vs Nautico R… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Portuguesa in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Ponte Preta struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 22, 2025 Ponte Preta 0 - 0 Portuguesa Paulista - A1
Jan 31, 2024 Portuguesa 0 - 2 Ponte Preta Paulista - A1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Portuguesa to win (35% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 35% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Portuguesa Power 0
Ponte Preta Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Portuguesa Position

+10

Position Gap

16

Ponte Preta Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.