AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Feb 05, 2026

Corinthians

Home
VS
23:30

Capivariano

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Corinthians Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Capivariano Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.45 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.8 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Corinthians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Capivariano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Corinthians Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Corinthia… vs Flamengo 0-1
Jan 28 Corinthia… vs Bahia 1-2
Jan 25 Corinthia… vs Velo Clube 0-1
Jan 22 Corinthia… vs Santos 1-1
Jan 18 Corinthia… vs São Paulo… 1-1
Jan 15 Corinthia… vs RB Bragan… 3-0
Jan 11 Corinthia… vs Ponte Pre… 3-0
Dec 18 Corinthia… vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Dec 14 Corinthia… vs Cruzeiro 1-2
Dec 11 Corinthia… vs Cruzeiro 0-1
Capivariano Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Capivaria… vs Primavera… 1-2
Jan 21 Capivaria… vs Noroeste 1-1
Jan 17 Capivaria… vs Ponte Pre… 2-0
Jan 14 Capivaria… vs Portuguesa 1-0
Jan 10 Capivaria… vs São Berna… 4-0
Apr 05 Capivaria… vs Primavera… 1-2
Apr 02 Capivaria… vs Primavera… 0-0
Mar 29 Capivaria… vs Ituano 3-1
Mar 23 Capivaria… vs Ituano 0-1
Feb 26 Capivaria… vs Juventude 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Corinthians to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Corinthians Power 0
Capivariano Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Corinthians Position

+8

Position Gap

12

Capivariano Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.