AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Feb 01, 2026

Botafogo SP

Home
VS
23:30

Palmeiras

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Botafogo SP Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Palmeiras Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 4.50 - 1.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.2
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Botafogo SP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Palmeiras Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Botafogo SP Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Botafogo … vs Novorizon… 2-0
Jan 22 Botafogo … vs Primavera… 1-0
Jan 18 Botafogo … vs RB Bragan… 5-0
Jan 15 Botafogo … vs Noroeste 1-1
Jan 11 Botafogo … vs Velo Clube 0-0
Jan 15 Botafogo … vs Guaraní C… 2-0
Jan 12 Botafogo … vs Nacional … 4-2
Oct 09 Botafogo … vs Guaraní C… 3-2
May 11 Botafogo … vs Guaraní C… 2-0
Mar 01 Botafogo … vs Guaraní C… 1-1
Palmeiras Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Palmeiras vs Atletico-… 2-2
Jan 24 Palmeiras vs São Paulo… 3-1
Jan 20 Palmeiras vs Novorizon… 4-0
Jan 17 Palmeiras vs Mirassol 1-0
Jan 14 Palmeiras vs Santos 1-0
Jan 10 Palmeiras vs Portuguesa 0-1
Dec 04 Palmeiras vs Atletico-… 0-3
Nov 26 Palmeiras vs Remo 3-2
Nov 23 Palmeiras vs Fluminense 0-0
Nov 19 Palmeiras vs Vitoria 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Palmeiras in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Botafogo SP Power 0
Palmeiras Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Botafogo SP Position

-7

Position Gap

2

Palmeiras Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.