AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Feb 02, 2026

Mirassol

Home
VS
18:00

Novorizontino

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Mirassol Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Novorizontino Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 38%
Market 54%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 41%
Asian Handicap: Home -1
xG: 4.50 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3 Asian Handicap: Home -1
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mirassol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Novorizontino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Mirassol Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Mirassol vs Vasco DA … 2-1
Jan 24 Mirassol vs São Berna… 0-4
Jan 21 Mirassol vs RB Bragan… 0-0
Jan 17 Mirassol vs Palmeiras 1-0
Jan 14 Mirassol vs Primavera… 3-1
Jan 11 Mirassol vs São Paulo… 3-0
Dec 02 Mirassol vs Vasco DA … 0-2
Nov 29 Mirassol vs Vitoria 2-0
Nov 24 Mirassol vs Ceará 3-0
Nov 20 Mirassol vs Santos 1-1
Novorizontino Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Novorizon… vs Botafogo … 2-0
Jan 20 Novorizon… vs Palmeiras 4-0
Jan 17 Novorizon… vs Primavera… 3-4
Jan 13 Novorizon… vs Guaraní C… 2-0
Jan 10 Novorizon… vs Santos 2-1
Nov 22 Novorizon… vs CRB 3-0
Nov 16 Novorizon… vs Goiás 1-0
Nov 08 Novorizon… vs Remo 1-1
Nov 03 Novorizon… vs América M… 2-2
Oct 24 Novorizon… vs Botafogo 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Novorizontino in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 17, 2025 Novorizontino 2 - 1 Mirassol Paulista - A1
Oct 19, 2024 Mirassol 1 - 0 Novorizontino Serie B
Jul 02, 2024 Novorizontino 1 - 1 Mirassol Serie B
Jan 28, 2024 Mirassol 1 - 1 Novorizontino Paulista - A1
Aug 11, 2023 Novorizontino 2 - 1 Mirassol Serie B
May 03, 2023 Mirassol 0 - 2 Novorizontino Serie B
Jan 30, 2022 Novorizontino 0 - 0 Mirassol Paulista - A1
Sep 25, 2021 Mirassol 0 - 1 Novorizontino Serie C
Jul 24, 2021 Novorizontino 1 - 0 Mirassol Serie C
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mirassol Power 0
Novorizontino Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Mirassol Position

-6

Position Gap

1

Novorizontino Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.