AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Jan 31, 2026

São Paulo FC

Home
VS
23:30

Santos

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
São Paulo FC Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Santos Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 75%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.28 - 0.87
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.9
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
São Paulo FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
São Paulo FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 São Paulo… vs Flamengo 2-1
Jan 24 São Paulo… vs Palmeiras 3-1
Jan 21 São Paulo… vs Portuguesa 2-3
Jan 18 São Paulo… vs Corinthia… 1-1
Jan 16 São Paulo… vs São Berna… 1-0
Jan 11 São Paulo… vs Mirassol 3-0
Dec 03 São Paulo… vs Internaci… 3-0
Nov 30 São Paulo… vs Apafut 1-1
Nov 27 São Paulo… vs Fluminense 6-0
Nov 23 São Paulo… vs Juventude 2-1
Santos Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Santos vs Chapecoen… 4-2
Jan 25 Santos vs RB Bragan… 0-0
Jan 22 Santos vs Corinthia… 1-1
Jan 18 Santos vs Guaraní C… 1-1
Jan 14 Santos vs Palmeiras 1-0
Jan 10 Santos vs Novorizon… 2-1
Dec 03 Santos vs Juventude 0-3
Nov 29 Santos vs Sport Rec… 3-0
Nov 25 Santos vs Internaci… 1-1
Nov 20 Santos vs Mirassol 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2025 Santos 1 - 0 São Paulo FC Serie A
Aug 13, 2025 São Paulo FC 0 - 2 Santos Brasileiro U17
Apr 20, 2025 São Paulo FC 2 - 1 Santos Serie A
Feb 01, 2025 Santos 3 - 1 São Paulo FC Paulista - A1
Jun 08, 2024 Santos 0 - 4 São Paulo FC Brasileiro Wom…
Feb 14, 2024 São Paulo FC 0 - 1 Santos Paulista - A1
Nov 12, 2023 Santos 0 - 0 São Paulo FC Serie A
Jul 16, 2023 São Paulo FC 4 - 1 Santos Serie A
Feb 12, 2023 São Paulo FC 3 - 1 Santos Paulista - A1
Aug 21, 2022 Santos 1 - 0 São Paulo FC Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
São Paulo FC Power 0
Santos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

São Paulo FC Position

+3

Position Gap

14

Santos Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.