AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Jan 18, 2026

Coritiba

Home
VS
19:00

São Paulo FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Coritiba Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
São Paulo FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 49%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 49%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.5
xG: 4.50 - 1.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.1 Asian Handicap: Home -0.5
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Coritiba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
São Paulo FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Coritiba Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Coritiba vs Athletico… 0-1
Jan 15 Coritiba vs RB Bragan… 3-0
Jan 13 Coritiba vs Maringá 0-1
Jan 11 Coritiba vs Ponte Pre… 3-0
Jan 10 Coritiba vs Londrina 2-2
Jan 07 Coritiba vs Foz Do Ig… 2-3
Dec 18 Coritiba vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Dec 14 Coritiba vs Cruzeiro 1-2
Dec 11 Coritiba vs Cruzeiro 0-1
Dec 03 Coritiba vs Fortaleza 2-1
São Paulo FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 16 São Paulo… vs São Berna… 1-0
Jan 11 São Paulo… vs Mirassol 3-0
Dec 03 São Paulo… vs Internaci… 3-0
Nov 30 São Paulo… vs Apafut 1-1
Nov 27 São Paulo… vs Fluminense 6-0
Nov 23 São Paulo… vs Juventude 2-1
Nov 23 São Paulo… vs Apafut 1-0
Nov 20 São Paulo… vs Coritiba 3-1
Nov 16 São Paulo… vs São Gabri… 0-5
Nov 09 São Paulo… vs Campo Gra… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Coritiba in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 20, 2025 Coritiba 3 - 1 São Paulo FC Serie A
Aug 31, 2025 Coritiba 2 - 2 São Paulo FC Brasileiro Wom…
Aug 24, 2025 São Paulo FC 0 - 2 Coritiba Brasileiro Wom…
Jul 20, 2025 São Paulo FC 2 - 0 Coritiba Serie A
Jun 24, 2025 Coritiba 1 - 1 São Paulo FC Brasileiro U17
Jan 26, 2025 São Paulo FC 3 - 1 Coritiba Paulista - A1
Sep 29, 2024 São Paulo FC 3 - 1 Coritiba Serie A
Sep 22, 2024 Coritiba 2 - 0 São Paulo FC Brasileiro Wom…
Sep 15, 2024 São Paulo FC 1 - 3 Coritiba Brasileiro Wom…
Jun 16, 2024 Coritiba 2 - 2 São Paulo FC Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Coritiba Power 0
São Paulo FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.