AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Matogrossense Feb 05, 2026

Mixto

Home
VS
23:00

Sport Sinop

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Mixto Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Sport Sinop Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.21 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.5 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mixto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Sport Sinop Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Mixto Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Mixto vs Primavera… 4-0
Jan 28 Mixto vs CEOV Oper… 1-4
Jan 25 Mixto vs Operário … 0-0
Jan 21 Mixto vs Luverdense 0-2
Jan 18 Mixto vs Cuiabá 0-0
Jan 13 Mixto vs Chapada 0-2
Jan 10 Mixto vs União Ron… 0-1
Mar 29 Mixto vs CEOV Oper… 3-2
Mar 21 Mixto vs CEOV Oper… 0-0
Mar 15 Mixto vs Primavera… 2-2
Sport Sinop Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Sport Sin… vs Operário … 1-2
Jan 28 Sport Sin… vs Luverdense 0-1
Jan 24 Sport Sin… vs União Ron… 0-0
Jan 22 Sport Sin… vs Cuiabá 0-1
Jan 17 Sport Sin… vs CEOV Oper… 0-1
Jan 14 Sport Sin… vs Primavera… 0-0
Jan 10 Sport Sin… vs Nova Mutu… 1-1
Feb 22 Sport Sin… vs Cuiabá 5-0
Feb 08 Sport Sin… vs União Ron… 0-0
Feb 02 Sport Sin… vs Primavera… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mixto in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 29, 2025 Sport Sinop 0 - 1 Mixto Matogrossense
Feb 25, 2023 Mixto 3 - 2 Sport Sinop Matogrossense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mixto to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mixto Power 0
Sport Sinop Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Mixto Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Sport Sinop Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.