AI Match Insights
Alagoano Feb 01, 2026
Penedense
HomeVS
19:00
Murici FC
AwayAI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Penedense Win
Draw
Murici FC Win
Away Win
(40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 44%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.16 - 0.66
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Penedense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Murici FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (16%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (11%)
2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
Under 2.5 Goals
73%
Penedense Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29 | Penedense vs CSE | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Penedense vs Coruripe | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Penedense vs CSE | 0-2 |
| Jan 18 | Penedense vs CRB | 0-1 |
| Jan 14 | Penedense vs CSA | 2-0 |
| Jan 10 | Penedense vs Cruzeiro … | 1-0 |
| Mar 30 | Penedense vs CSE | 0-0 |
| Mar 26 | Penedense vs CSE | 1-1 |
| Mar 23 | Penedense vs Coruripe | 3-0 |
| Mar 16 | Penedense vs São Caeta… | 1-1 |
Murici FC Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24 | Murici FC vs Cruzeiro … | 0-2 |
| Jan 21 | Murici FC vs CSA | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Murici FC vs Coruripe | 1-0 |
| Jan 15 | Murici FC vs CRB | 3-2 |
| Jan 10 | Murici FC vs ASA | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Murici FC vs ASA | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Murici FC vs CSA | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Murici FC vs CSE | 0-3 |
| Feb 01 | Murici FC vs CRB | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Murici FC vs CSE | 0-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Penedense struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | Penedense | 1 - 0 | Murici FC | Alagoano |
| Mar 06, 2024 | Penedense | 0 - 0 | Murici FC | Copa Alagoas |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Murici FC | 0 - 0 | Penedense | Alagoano |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Penedense Power
0
Murici FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
8
Penedense Position-1
Position Gap7
Murici FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.