AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Jan 31, 2026

Ceilândia

Home
VS
19:00

Real FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Ceilândia Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Real FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 66%
Market 63%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 42%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.5
xG: 1.93 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2 Market confidence: 60% Asian Handicap: Home -1.5
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ceilândia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Real FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (21%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Ceilândia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Ceilândia vs Brasília 1-2
Jan 21 Ceilândia vs ARUC 3-0
Jan 18 Ceilândia vs Samambaia… 2-1
Jan 10 Ceilândia vs Sobradinh… 1-1
Mar 22 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 2-1
Mar 16 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 1-1
Feb 23 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 4-1
Jan 22 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 1-1
Apr 06 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 0-0
Mar 31 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 1-1
Real FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Real FC vs Samambaia… 0-1
Jan 21 Real FC vs Capital B… 0-1
Jan 17 Real FC vs Brasilien… 0-0
Jan 10 Real FC vs Gama 1-0
Feb 22 Real FC vs Paranoá 2-1
Feb 17 Real FC vs Samambaia… 1-1
Feb 13 Real FC vs Gama 1-0
Feb 09 Real FC vs Sobradinh… 1-3
Jan 29 Real FC vs Capital B… 2-0
Jan 25 Real FC vs Brasilien… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ceilândia to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ceilândia Power 0
Real FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Ceilândia Position

+4

Position Gap

7

Real FC Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.