AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Jan 31, 2026

Capital Brasilia

Home
VS
19:00

Sobradinho EC

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Capital Brasilia Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Sobradinho EC Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 42%
Market 53%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.75
xG: 1.29 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.5 Asian Handicap: Home -0.75
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Capital Brasilia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Sobradinho EC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Capital Brasilia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Capital B… vs Paranoá 0-3
Jan 21 Capital B… vs Real FC 0-1
Jan 17 Capital B… vs ARUC 0-3
Jan 11 Capital B… vs Samambaia… 2-2
Jul 27 Capital B… vs Rioverden… 6-1
Jul 26 Capital B… vs Aparecide… 2-1
Jul 20 Capital B… vs Barcelona… 3-0
May 23 Capital B… vs Botafogo 1-0
Apr 30 Capital B… vs Botafogo 4-0
Mar 29 Capital B… vs Gama 1-1
Sobradinho EC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Sobradinh… vs ARUC 2-1
Jan 21 Sobradinh… vs Brasilien… 0-0
Jan 17 Sobradinh… vs Paranoá 1-0
Jan 10 Sobradinh… vs Ceilândia 1-1
Feb 16 Sobradinh… vs Brasilien… 0-0
Feb 12 Sobradinh… vs Samambaia… 1-0
Feb 09 Sobradinh… vs Real FC 1-3
Feb 01 Sobradinh… vs Capital B… 1-1
Jan 29 Sobradinh… vs Uberlândia 1-0
Jan 26 Sobradinh… vs Paranoá 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2025 Sobradinho EC 1 - 1 Capital Brasilia Brasiliense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Capital Brasilia Power 0
Sobradinho EC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Capital Brasilia Position

-4

Position Gap

2

Sobradinho EC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.