Serie B · Jan 31, 2026 18:30

Sampdoria
PWR 32
1 - 0
FT

Spezia
PWR 30
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Sampdoria to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (3%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Elevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense62
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.3
Attack26
Defense60
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Sampdoria Form DDLWD
STABLE
Spezia Form WLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS39%
Under 2.538%
Sampdoria Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Spezia Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.55
Sampdoria
vs
0.52
Spezia
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings64%
Market49%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Sampdoria
+4
Gap
#18
Spezia
WR 46% 25 pts WR 18% 21 pts
Sampdoria 10.0%
Jan 25 Sampdor… v Catanza… 0-0
Jan 16 Sampdor… v Virtus … 1-1
Jan 10 Sampdor… v Avellino 2-1
Dec 27 Sampdor… v Reggian… 2-1
Dec 20 Sampdor… v Padova 1-1
Dec 12 Sampdor… v Palermo 1-0
Dec 07 Sampdor… v Carrare… 3-2
Nov 30 Sampdor… v Spezia 1-0
Nov 24 Sampdor… v Juve St… 1-0
Nov 08 Sampdor… v Venezia 3-1
Spezia 8.0%
Jan 24 Spezia v Avellino 1-0
Jan 18 Spezia v Palermo 1-0
Jan 10 Spezia v Sudtirol 2-1
Dec 27 Spezia v Pescara 2-1
Dec 20 Spezia v Frosino… 2-1
Dec 13 Spezia v Modena 0-2
Dec 08 Spezia v Virtus … 0-1
Nov 30 Spezia v Sampdor… 1-0
Nov 23 Spezia v Mantova 4-1
Nov 07 Spezia v Bari 1-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 30, 2025 Spezia 1-0 Sampdoria
Aug 18, 2025 Spezia 1-1 Sampdoria
Apr 06, 2025 Spezia 2-0 Sampdoria
Dec 14, 2024 Sampdoria 0-0 Spezia
Dec 14, 2024 Sampdoria 0-0 Spezia
Apr 20, 2024 Spezia 0-0 Sampdoria
Apr 20, 2024 Spezia 0-0 Sampdoria
Nov 24, 2023 Sampdoria 2-1 Spezia
Nov 24, 2023 Sampdoria 2-1 Spezia
Apr 22, 2023 Sampdoria 1-1 Spezia
Key Factors
Spezia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.