AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Feb 07, 2026

Scunthorpe

Home
VS
15:00

Southend

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Scunthorpe Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Southend Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.39 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Scunthorpe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Southend Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (11%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Scunthorpe Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Scunthorpe vs Forest Gr… 3-2
Jan 20 Scunthorpe vs Boreham W… 1-3
Jan 17 Scunthorpe vs Morecambe 2-2
Dec 30 Scunthorpe vs Gateshead 2-0
Dec 26 Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool 1-2
Dec 20 Scunthorpe vs Woking 1-2
Dec 06 Scunthorpe vs Tamworth 3-1
Dec 02 Scunthorpe vs Newcastle… 2-0
Nov 29 Scunthorpe vs Altrincham 4-2
Nov 22 Scunthorpe vs Braintree 1-1
Southend Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Southend vs Chippenha… 0-0
Jan 27 Southend vs Rochdale 2-1
Jan 24 Southend vs Bolton 3-3
Jan 20 Southend vs Eastleigh 4-1
Jan 17 Southend vs York 1-1
Jan 13 Southend vs Bath City 1-3
Dec 30 Southend vs Southampt… 1-0
Dec 26 Southend vs Braintree 0-1
Dec 20 Southend vs Tamworth 2-1
Dec 13 Southend vs Truro City 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Scunthorpe in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Southend 0 - 2 Scunthorpe National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Scunthorpe Power 44
Southend Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Scunthorpe Position

+3

Position Gap

8

Southend Position
Home Win Rate: 69%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.