Super Cup · Jan 10, 2026 15:45

Galatasaray
PWR 41
0 - 2
FT

Fenerbahce
PWR 67
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Draw expected (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-3 (6%) 2-3 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense30
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G2.0
Attack47
Defense88
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.3
Galatasaray Form WWWWL
UP
Fenerbahce Form WLWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.571%
BTTS72%
Under 2.529%
Galatasaray Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Fenerbahce Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Galatasaray
vs
2.07
Fenerbahce
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum47%
Standings50%
Market45%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Galatasaray
-1
Gap
#1
Fenerbahce
WR 50% 6 pts WR 67% 6 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Galatasaray4202586
Fenerbahce3201416
Galatasaray 16.0%
Jan 05 Galatas… v Trabzon… 4-1
Dec 21 Galatas… v Kasımpa… 3-0
Dec 18 Galatas… v İstanbu… 1-0
Dec 13 Galatas… v Antalya… 1-4
Dec 09 Galatas… v Monaco 1-0
Dec 05 Galatas… v Samsuns… 3-2
Dec 01 Galatas… v Fenerba… 1-1
Nov 25 Galatas… v Union S… 0-1
Nov 22 Galatas… v Gencler… 3-2
Nov 09 Galatas… v Kocaeli… 1-0
Fenerbahce 16.0%
Jan 06 Fenerba… v Samsuns… 2-0
Dec 23 Fenerba… v Besiktas 1-2
Dec 20 Fenerba… v Eyüpspor 0-3
Dec 15 Fenerba… v Konyasp… 4-0
Dec 11 Fenerba… v Brann 0-4
Dec 06 Fenerba… v İstanbu… 1-1
Dec 01 Fenerba… v Galatas… 1-1
Nov 27 Fenerba… v Ferencv… 1-1
Nov 23 Fenerba… v Rizespor 2-5
Nov 09 Fenerba… v Kayseri… 4-2
Head-to-Head (9)
Dec 01, 2025 Fenerbahce 1-1 Galatasaray
Apr 02, 2025 Fenerbahce 1-2 Galatasaray
Feb 24, 2025 Galatasaray 0-0 Fenerbahce
Sep 21, 2024 Fenerbahce 1-3 Galatasaray
May 19, 2024 Galatasaray 0-1 Fenerbahce
Apr 07, 2024 Galatasaray 1-0 Fenerbahce
Dec 24, 2023 Fenerbahce 0-0 Galatasaray
Jun 04, 2023 Galatasaray 3-0 Fenerbahce
Jan 08, 2023 Fenerbahce 0-3 Galatasaray
Key Factors
Galatasaray in strong form (4W in last 5)
Fenerbahce in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.