Challenge League · Feb 07, 2026 15:30

Mgarr United
PWR 35
2 - 4
FT

Fgura United
PWR 35
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Mgarr United to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
HOME_SCORING
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Mgarr United Form DDWWL
STABLE
Fgura United Form LLLLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS80%
Under 2.525%
Mgarr United Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Fgura United Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.44
Mgarr United
vs
1.74
Fgura United
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Mgarr United
-1
Gap
#6
Fgura United
WR 33% 21 pts WR 83% 22 pts
Mgarr United 12.0%
Feb 01 Mgarr U… v Zurrieq 1-1
Jan 28 Mgarr U… v Mosta 0-0
Jan 18 Mgarr U… v Mtarfa 1-3
Jan 10 Mgarr U… v Swieqi … 5-1
Dec 21 Mgarr U… v Sirens 2-3
Dec 13 Mgarr U… v Pietà H… 1-1
Dec 10 Mgarr U… v Melita 1-3
Nov 29 Mgarr U… v Marsa 2-3
Nov 23 Mgarr U… v Santa L… 3-3
Nov 01 Mgarr U… v Zebbug … 0-1
Fgura United 2.0%
Feb 01 Fgura U… v Sirens 1-5
Jan 27 Fgura U… v Hamrun … 5-0
Jan 24 Fgura U… v Gudja U… 2-1
Jan 18 Fgura U… v Pietà H… 1-0
Jan 11 Fgura U… v Gudja U… 1-1
Jan 04 Fgura U… v Santa L… 2-1
Dec 20 Fgura U… v Zurrieq 1-4
Dec 14 Fgura U… v Mtarfa 8-0
Dec 10 Fgura U… v Balzan … 1-2
Nov 30 Fgura U… v Vittori… 2-3
Head-to-Head (3)
Dec 21, 2024 Mgarr United 0-0 Fgura United
Feb 20, 2022 Fgura United 2-0 Mgarr United
Oct 31, 2021 Mgarr United 1-0 Fgura United
Key Factors
Fgura United struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.