Challenge League · Feb 01, 2026 15:30
Balzan FC
PWR 35
Birzebbuga
PWR 35
Balzan FC
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT
Birzebbuga
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Balzan FC to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (19%)
1-0 (15%)
3-0 (15%)
0-0 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Balzan FC Form
WWDDW
STABLE
Birzebbuga Form
LDWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS26%
Under 2.552%
Balzan FC Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Birzebbuga Goals
0
71%
1
24%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Balzan FCvs
0.34
BirzebbugaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings56%
Market57%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Balzan FC+1
Gap#2
Birzebbuga
WR 71% 32 pts
WR 57% 28 pts
Balzan FC
16.0%
| Jan 17 | Balzan … v St. And… | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Balzan … v Vittori… | 4-1 |
| Jan 04 | Balzan … v Birzebb… | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Balzan … v Santa L… | 1-1 |
| Dec 14 | Balzan … v Zebbug … | 4-0 |
| Dec 10 | Balzan … v Fgura U… | 1-2 |
| Nov 30 | Balzan … v Mtarfa | 4-0 |
| Nov 22 | Balzan … v Zurrieq | 0-1 |
| Nov 02 | Balzan … v Swieqi … | 4-0 |
| Oct 26 | Balzan … v Mgarr U… | 1-4 |
Birzebbuga
12.0%
| Jan 27 | Birzebb… v Zurrieq | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Birzebb… v Vittori… | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Birzebb… v St. And… | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | Birzebb… v Balzan … | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Birzebb… v Melita | 0-2 |
| Dec 14 | Birzebb… v Marsa | 1-0 |
| Dec 11 | Birzebb… v Sirens | 1-2 |
| Nov 29 | Birzebb… v Gudja U… | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | Birzebb… v Fgura U… | 0-3 |
| Nov 02 | Birzebb… v Mtarfa | 8-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 04, 2026 | Balzan FC | 1-1 | Birzebbuga |
Key Factors
Balzan FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.