AI Match Insights

Challenge League Feb 01, 2026

Zurrieq

Home
VS
13:00

Mgarr United

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Zurrieq Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Mgarr United Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 46%
Standings 40%
Market 41%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 53%
Asian Handicap: Level (0)
xG: 1.29 - 1.68
Key Insights
Asian Handicap: Level (0)
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zurrieq Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Mgarr United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 0-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Zurrieq Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Zurrieq vs Birzebbuga 3-0
Jan 18 Zurrieq vs Swieqi Un… 3-1
Jan 11 Zurrieq vs Mtarfa 1-1
Dec 20 Zurrieq vs Fgura Uni… 1-4
Dec 17 Zurrieq vs Zebbug Ra… 1-4
Dec 13 Zurrieq vs Gudja Uni… 1-0
Dec 09 Zurrieq vs Santa Luc… 4-0
Nov 22 Zurrieq vs Balzan FC 0-1
Nov 02 Zurrieq vs Vittorios… 0-1
Oct 25 Zurrieq vs Birzebbuga 2-3
Mgarr United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Mgarr Uni… vs Mosta 0-0
Jan 18 Mgarr Uni… vs Mtarfa 1-3
Jan 10 Mgarr Uni… vs Swieqi Un… 5-1
Dec 21 Mgarr Uni… vs Sirens 2-3
Dec 13 Mgarr Uni… vs PietĆ  Hot… 1-1
Dec 10 Mgarr Uni… vs Melita 1-3
Nov 29 Mgarr Uni… vs Marsa 2-3
Nov 23 Mgarr Uni… vs Santa Luc… 3-3
Nov 01 Mgarr Uni… vs Zebbug Ra… 0-1
Oct 26 Mgarr Uni… vs Balzan FC 1-4
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 05, 2025 Mgarr United 0 - 2 Zurrieq Challenge Leag…
Feb 09, 2025 Zurrieq 1 - 1 Mgarr United Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zurrieq Power 0
Mgarr United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Zurrieq Position

-5

Position Gap

7

Mgarr United Position

Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.