Premier Intermediate League · Mar 24, 2026 19:45
Newry City AFC
PWR 63
Rathfriland
PWR 68
PWR 68
2-1
predicted
Newry City AFC
PWR 63
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Rathfriland to win (63% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.52x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.87x
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
61%
61%
Team Comparison
80Attack57
60Defense68
Goals/G
2.31.6
Conc/G
1.10.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Rathfriland
WLWWD
STABLE
Newry City AFC
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Rathfrilandvs
1.05
Newry City AFCGoal Probability
Rathfriland
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Newry City …
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-1 (6%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 80% | 21% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 4.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Rathfriland+6
Gap#12
Newry City …
WR 61% 60 pts
WR 64% 22 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rathfriland | 31 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 71 | 35 | 60 |
| Newry City AFC | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 22 |
Rathfriland
14.0%
| Mar 21 | Rathfri… v Portste… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Rathfri… v Straban… | 2-5 |
| Feb 21 | Rathfri… v Lisburn… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Rathfri… v Banbrid… | 0-4 |
| Dec 18 | Rathfri… v Vietnam… | 2-2 |
| Dec 15 | Rathfri… v Malaysi… | 1-0 |
| Dec 11 | Rathfri… v Singapo… | 3-0 |
| Dec 06 | Rathfri… v Lisburn… | 1-2 |
| Dec 03 | Rathfri… v Timor-L… | 1-6 |
| Nov 22 | Rathfri… v Straban… | 2-1 |
Newry City AFC
12.0%
| Mar 21 | Newry C… v Oxford … | 4-0 |
| Mar 14 | Newry C… v Knockbr… | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Newry C… v Lisburn… | 0-3 |
| Feb 28 | Newry C… v Ballycl… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Newry C… v Ballyma… | 3-1 |
| Feb 06 | Newry C… v Portste… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Newry C… v Coagh U… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Newry C… v Oxford … | 3-0 |
| Dec 06 | Newry C… v Banbrid… | 0-3 |
| Dec 02 | Newry C… v Linfield | 2-3 |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
50%
Market
49%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Rathfriland in strong form (3W in last 5)
Newry City AFC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.