Predictions Match Details
League One · Feb 07, 2026 15:01

Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
3 - 1
FT

Stevenage
PWR 36
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.8% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack27
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack32
Defense71
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Northampton To… Form DLLLL
STABLE
Stevenage Form LWDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS31%
Under 2.554%
Northampton… Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Stevenage Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Northampton To…
vs
0.43
Stevenage
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#19
Northampton…
-10
Gap
#9
Stevenage
WR 40% 33 pts WR 31% 42 pts
Northampton To… 2.0%
Feb 03 Northam… v Barnsley 2-2
Jan 31 Northam… v Reading… 0-2
Jan 27 Northam… v Rotherh… 2-1
Jan 24 Northam… v Blackpo… 2-0
Jan 17 Northam… v Wycombe 1-2
Jan 04 Northam… v Bolton 0-0
Jan 01 Northam… v Stockpo… 0-0
Dec 29 Northam… v Hudders… 2-0
Dec 26 Northam… v Burton … 5-1
Dec 19 Northam… v AFC Wim… 3-1
Stevenage 8.0%
Jan 31 Stevena… v Barnsley 3-1
Jan 27 Stevena… v Peterbo… 1-0
Jan 24 Stevena… v Mansfie… 1-1
Jan 20 Stevena… v Bolton 0-0
Jan 17 Stevena… v Exeter … 3-0
Jan 10 Stevena… v Luton 2-1
Jan 01 Stevena… v Plymouth 1-1
Dec 29 Stevena… v Cardiff 2-1
Dec 26 Stevena… v AFC Wim… 0-0
Dec 20 Stevena… v Burton … 2-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Aug 16, 2025 Stevenage 2-0 Northampton T…
Jan 01, 2025 Northampton T… 0-0 Stevenage
Dec 03, 2024 Stevenage 2-0 Northampton T…
Dec 03, 2024 Stevenage 2-0 Northampton T…
Dec 26, 2023 Stevenage 3-0 Northampton T…
Dec 26, 2023 Stevenage 3-0 Northampton T…
Aug 05, 2023 Northampton T… 0-1 Stevenage
Apr 01, 2023 Northampton T… 1-1 Stevenage
Oct 22, 2022 Stevenage 2-3 Northampton T…
Mar 15, 2022 Stevenage 1-2 Northampton T…
Key Factors
Northampton Town FC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.