AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 07, 2026

Bolton

Home
VS
15:01

Barnsley

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Bolton Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Barnsley Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.11 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.6 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Barnsley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Bolton Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Bolton vs AFC Wimbl… 0-1
Jan 27 Bolton vs Brighton 2-1
Jan 27 Bolton vs West Ham … 0-1
Jan 24 Bolton vs Leyton Or… 2-1
Jan 20 Bolton vs Stevenage 0-0
Jan 17 Bolton vs Wigan 0-1
Jan 13 Bolton vs Swindon 1-2
Jan 13 Bolton vs Port Vale 0-1
Jan 10 Bolton vs Peterboro… 3-1
Jan 04 Bolton vs Northampt… 0-0
Barnsley Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Barnsley vs Northampt… 2-2
Jan 31 Barnsley vs Stevenage 3-1
Jan 24 Barnsley vs Reading FC 2-2
Jan 17 Barnsley vs Blackpool 2-1
Jan 01 Barnsley vs Wigan 1-1
Dec 29 Barnsley vs Lincoln 0-2
Dec 26 Barnsley vs Mansfield… 2-3
Dec 20 Barnsley vs Exeter Ci… 3-0
Dec 13 Barnsley vs Leyton Or… 3-2
Dec 09 Barnsley vs Lincoln 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bolton in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2025 Barnsley 1 - 1 Bolton League One
Apr 12, 2025 Barnsley 4 - 1 Bolton League One
Dec 26, 2024 Bolton 1 - 2 Barnsley League One
May 07, 2024 Bolton 2 - 3 Barnsley League One
May 03, 2024 Barnsley 1 - 3 Bolton League One
Mar 05, 2024 Barnsley 2 - 2 Bolton League One
Feb 03, 2024 Bolton 1 - 1 Barnsley League One
May 19, 2023 Barnsley 1 - 0 Bolton League One
May 13, 2023 Bolton 1 - 1 Barnsley League One
Jan 02, 2023 Barnsley 0 - 3 Bolton League One
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bolton to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 96
  • Power: 39 vs 0
Bolton Power 39
Barnsley Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Bolton Position

+11

Position Gap

14

Barnsley Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 23%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.