AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 3 Jan 25, 2026

Fafe

Home
VS
15:00

SC Braga B

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Fafe Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
SC Braga B Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 48%
Market 58%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 42%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
xG: 2.41 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.5 Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fafe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
SC Braga B Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Fafe Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Fafe vs Guimaraes… 1-0
Jan 14 Fafe vs SC Braga 2-1
Jan 10 Fafe vs São João … 0-4
Jan 04 Fafe vs Varzim 1-0
Dec 27 Fafe vs Lusitano … 0-1
Dec 21 Fafe vs Amarante 3-2
Dec 14 Fafe vs Trofense 1-2
Dec 07 Fafe vs AD Marco … 1-1
Nov 29 Fafe vs Paredes 2-1
Nov 23 Fafe vs Arouca 2-1
SC Braga B Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 SC Braga B vs São João … 0-0
Jan 11 SC Braga B vs Amarante 1-0
Jan 04 SC Braga B vs AD Marco … 2-1
Dec 20 SC Braga B vs Sanjoanen… 0-2
Dec 13 SC Braga B vs Guimaraes… 0-0
Dec 07 SC Braga B vs Varzim 3-1
Dec 01 SC Braga B vs Trofense 1-1
Nov 08 SC Braga B vs Paredes 2-0
Nov 01 SC Braga B vs Fafe 1-0
Oct 25 SC Braga B vs São João … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fafe in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 01, 2025 SC Braga B 1 - 0 Fafe Liga 3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fafe to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 92
Fafe Power 0
SC Braga B Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Fafe Position

-1

Position Gap

6

SC Braga B Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.