AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 3 Jan 25, 2026

Amarante

Home
VS
15:00

Trofense

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Amarante Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Trofense Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 55%
Market 40%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 47%
Asian Handicap: Level (0)
xG: 1.93 - 1.78
Key Insights
Asian Handicap: Level (0)
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Amarante Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Trofense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Amarante Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Amarante vs Paredes 0-0
Jan 11 Amarante vs SC Braga B 1-0
Jan 04 Amarante vs São João … 0-1
Dec 21 Amarante vs Fafe 3-2
Dec 14 Amarante vs AD Marco … 3-2
Dec 06 Amarante vs Sanjoanen… 0-2
Nov 29 Amarante vs Guimaraes… 1-2
Nov 09 Amarante vs Varzim 0-0
Nov 02 Amarante vs Trofense 0-1
Oct 26 Amarante vs Paredes 1-0
Trofense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Trofense vs AD Marco … 0-1
Jan 10 Trofense vs Sanjoanen… 2-4
Jan 04 Trofense vs Guimaraes… 0-1
Dec 20 Trofense vs Varzim 0-1
Dec 14 Trofense vs Fafe 1-2
Dec 07 Trofense vs Paredes 0-0
Dec 01 Trofense vs SC Braga B 1-1
Nov 08 Trofense vs São João … 1-1
Nov 02 Trofense vs Amarante 0-1
Oct 25 Trofense vs AD Marco … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Amarante in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Trofense in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 02, 2025 Trofense 0 - 1 Amarante Liga 3
Nov 10, 2024 Trofense 1 - 0 Amarante Liga 3
Aug 11, 2024 Amarante 1 - 0 Trofense Liga 3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Amarante to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Amarante Power 0
Trofense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Amarante Position

+2

Position Gap

4

Trofense Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.