AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Jan 31, 2026

Stenhousemuir

Home
VS
15:00

Peterhead

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Stenhousemuir Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Peterhead Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 60%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 32%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stenhousemuir Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Peterhead Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Stenhousemuir Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Stenhouse… vs Inverness… 1-0
Jan 24 Stenhouse… vs Kelty Hea… 0-2
Jan 17 Stenhouse… vs Morton 4-0
Jan 13 Stenhouse… vs Stirling … 1-2
Jan 10 Stenhouse… vs East Fife 5-0
Jan 03 Stenhouse… vs Queen of … 2-0
Dec 27 Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… 0-0
Dec 20 Stenhouse… vs Inverness… 1-0
Dec 13 Stenhouse… vs Montrose 3-0
Dec 09 Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… 2-0
Peterhead Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Peterhead vs Hamilton … 2-3
Dec 27 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 0-4
Dec 20 Peterhead vs East Fife 0-1
Dec 13 Peterhead vs Kelty Hea… 3-2
Dec 09 Peterhead vs Ayr Utd 2-1
Dec 06 Peterhead vs Alloa Ath… 4-0
Nov 29 Peterhead vs Morton 2-2
Nov 22 Peterhead vs Stenhouse… 1-4
Nov 15 Peterhead vs Montrose 1-1
Nov 11 Peterhead vs Stirling … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stenhousemuir in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Peterhead struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 22, 2025 Peterhead 1 - 4 Stenhousemuir League One
Sep 20, 2025 Stenhousemuir 3 - 1 Peterhead League One
Jul 26, 2025 Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Peterhead League Cup
Mar 23, 2024 Stenhousemuir 0 - 0 Peterhead League Two
Jan 27, 2024 Peterhead 2 - 1 Stenhousemuir League Two
Nov 14, 2023 Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Peterhead League Two
Aug 12, 2023 Peterhead 0 - 0 Stenhousemuir League Two
Mar 23, 2021 Peterhead 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir FA Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stenhousemuir to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stenhousemuir Power 0
Peterhead Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Stenhousemuir Position

+3

Position Gap

5

Peterhead Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.