AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Feb 07, 2026

Forfar Athletic

Home
VS
15:00

Dumbarton

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Forfar Athletic Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Dumbarton Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.50 - 1.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.7
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Forfar Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Dumbarton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Forfar Athletic Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Forfar At… vs East Kilb… 2-0
Jan 24 Forfar At… vs Stirling … 0-1
Jan 13 Forfar At… vs Queen's P… 2-0
Jan 10 Forfar At… vs Stranraer 2-2
Jan 03 Forfar At… vs Clyde 1-1
Dec 27 Forfar At… vs Elgin City 4-2
Dec 20 Forfar At… vs Edinburgh… 2-3
Dec 13 Forfar At… vs Alloa Ath… 3-1
Dec 09 Forfar At… vs Edinburgh… 1-1
Dec 06 Forfar At… vs East Kilb… 0-3
Dumbarton Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Dumbarton vs Edinburgh… 1-1
Jan 24 Dumbarton vs Elgin City 2-2
Jan 03 Dumbarton vs Spartans 2-0
Dec 27 Dumbarton vs Stirling … 1-2
Dec 20 Dumbarton vs Stranraer 1-1
Dec 16 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 0-9
Dec 13 Dumbarton vs East Kilb… 2-0
Dec 06 Dumbarton vs Edinburgh… 4-3
Nov 29 Dumbarton vs Auchinlec… 0-4
Nov 22 Dumbarton vs Forfar At… 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Forfar Athletic struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 22, 2025 Dumbarton 1 - 4 Forfar Athletic League Two
Sep 13, 2025 Forfar Athletic 2 - 3 Dumbarton League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Forfar Athletic Power 0
Dumbarton Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Forfar Athletic Position

+1

Position Gap

7

Dumbarton Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.