AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tweede Divisie Jan 31, 2026

Almere City II

Home
VS
14:30

Kozakken Boys

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Almere City II Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Kozakken Boys Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 72%
Market 56%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 50%
Asian Handicap: Home -1
xG: 2.20 - 1.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.2 Position gap: 6 places Asian Handicap: Home -1
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Almere City II Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Kozakken Boys Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Almere City II Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Almere Ci… vs Ijsselmee… 3-0
Jan 17 Almere Ci… vs Quick Boys 1-4
Dec 13 Almere Ci… vs GVVV Veen… 0-4
Dec 06 Almere Ci… vs Excelsior… 1-1
Nov 29 Almere Ci… vs FC Volend… 1-4
Nov 22 Almere Ci… vs Hoek 1-2
Nov 15 Almere Ci… vs Sparta Ro… 2-2
Nov 08 Almere Ci… vs Spakenburg 4-2
Oct 25 Almere Ci… vs Koninklij… 2-1
Oct 18 Almere Ci… vs Katwijk 3-0
Kozakken Boys Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Kozakken … vs AFC Amste… 1-3
Jan 17 Kozakken … vs ACV 0-2
Dec 13 Kozakken … vs Quick Boys 1-1
Dec 06 Kozakken … vs HHC 1-0
Nov 29 Kozakken … vs GVVV Veen… 3-2
Nov 22 Kozakken … vs Excelsior… 1-1
Nov 15 Kozakken … vs FC Volend… 1-1
Nov 08 Kozakken … vs Hoek 1-3
Oct 25 Kozakken … vs Sparta Ro… 1-1
Oct 18 Kozakken … vs Spakenburg 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kozakken Boys struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 06, 2025 Kozakken Boys 0 - 3 Almere City II Tweede Divisie
Mar 23, 2024 Kozakken Boys 3 - 4 Almere City II Tweede Divisie
Oct 14, 2023 Almere City II 1 - 1 Kozakken Boys Tweede Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Almere City II to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Almere City II Power 0
Kozakken Boys Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Almere City II Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Kozakken Boys Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.