AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL Feb 01, 2026

Manchester City Women

Home
VS
14:30

Chelsea Women

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Manchester City Women Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Chelsea Women Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 67%
Market 45%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 53%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.25
xG: 0.98 - 0.75
Key Insights
Asian Handicap: Home -0.25
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Manchester City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Chelsea Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 0-1 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Manchester City Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Mancheste… vs London Ci… 1-2
Jan 21 Mancheste… vs Chelsea W… 0-1
Jan 11 Mancheste… vs Everton W… 2-0
Dec 21 Mancheste… vs West Ham … 1-5
Dec 14 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 6-1
Dec 07 Mancheste… vs Leicester… 0-3
Nov 22 Mancheste… vs Nottingha… 0-2
Nov 15 Mancheste… vs Mancheste… 3-0
Nov 09 Mancheste… vs Everton W… 1-2
Nov 01 Mancheste… vs West Ham … 1-0
Chelsea Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Chelsea W… vs Arsenal W… 0-2
Jan 21 Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… 0-1
Jan 17 Chelsea W… vs Crystal P… 5-0
Jan 11 Chelsea W… vs West Ham … 5-0
Dec 21 Chelsea W… vs Liverpool… 1-9
Dec 17 Chelsea W… vs VfL Wolfs… 1-0
Dec 14 Chelsea W… vs Brighton … 0-3
Dec 10 Chelsea W… vs Roma Women 6-0
Dec 07 Chelsea W… vs Everton W… 0-1
Nov 20 Chelsea W… vs Barcelona… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Manchester City Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Chelsea Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 21, 2026 Manchester City Wom… 0 - 1 Chelsea Women WSL Cup
Sep 05, 2025 Chelsea Women 2 - 1 Manchester City Wom… FA WSL
Mar 27, 2025 Chelsea Women 3 - 0 Manchester City Wom… UEFA Champions…
Mar 23, 2025 Manchester City Wom… 1 - 2 Chelsea Women FA WSL
Mar 19, 2025 Manchester City Wom… 2 - 0 Chelsea Women UEFA Champions…
Mar 15, 2025 Chelsea Women 2 - 1 Manchester City Wom… WSL Cup
Nov 16, 2024 Chelsea Women 2 - 0 Manchester City Wom… FA WSL
Mar 07, 2024 Manchester City Wom… 0 - 1 Chelsea Women WSL Cup
Feb 16, 2024 Chelsea Women 0 - 1 Manchester City Wom… FA WSL
Oct 08, 2023 Manchester City Wom… 1 - 1 Chelsea Women FA WSL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Manchester City Women to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Manchester City Women Power 57
Chelsea Women Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Manchester City Women Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Chelsea Women Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.