AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Feb 07, 2026

Atlante FC

Home
VS
23:00

TapatĂ­o

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Atlante FC Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
TapatĂ­o Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.86 - 0.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.4 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlante FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
TapatĂ­o Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Atlante FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Atlante FC vs CDS Tampi… 0-1
Jan 11 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 1-1
Nov 15 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 1-1
Nov 13 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 1-0
Nov 08 Atlante FC vs CA La Paz 0-6
Nov 02 Atlante FC vs CancĂşn 1-1
Oct 26 Atlante FC vs Mineros d… 1-4
Oct 19 Atlante FC vs Venados FC 3-0
Oct 12 Atlante FC vs Dorados 0-0
Oct 05 Atlante FC vs Leones Ne… 2-3
TapatĂ­o Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Tapatío vs Leones Ne… 2-0
Jan 24 Tapatío vs Tepatitlán 2-0
Jan 16 TapatĂ­o vs Venados FC 4-2
Jan 10 TapatĂ­o vs CA La Paz 2-2
Nov 09 TapatĂ­o vs Dorados 4-1
Nov 01 TapatĂ­o vs Irapuato 2-1
Oct 19 Tapatío vs Mineros d… 2-3
Oct 12 TapatĂ­o vs Monarcas 0-0
Oct 03 Tapatío vs Alebrijes… 0-1
Sep 28 TapatĂ­o vs CancĂşn 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • TapatĂ­o in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 29, 2025 Tapatío 3 - 0 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Mar 20, 2025 Tapatío 1 - 1 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Oct 05, 2024 Atlante FC 1 - 1 Tapatío Liga de Expans…
May 05, 2024 Atlante FC 5 - 1 Tapatío Liga de Expans…
May 02, 2024 Tapatío 0 - 3 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Apr 02, 2024 Tapatío 0 - 0 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Sep 30, 2023 Atlante FC 1 - 1 Tapatío Liga de Expans…
Jun 04, 2023 Atlante FC 1 - 0 Tapatío Liga de Expans…
May 28, 2023 Tapatío 3 - 1 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
May 13, 2023 Tapatío 1 - 0 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atlante FC to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlante FC Power 0
TapatĂ­o Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Atlante FC Position

+10

Position Gap

11

TapatĂ­o Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.