AI Match Insights

Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Jan 31, 2026

Dorados

Home
VS
03:00

Tepatitlán

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Dorados Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Tepatitlán Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 66%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.86 - 0.41
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dorados Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Tepatitlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (28%) 1-0 (24%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
Dorados Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Dorados vs Venados FC 4-4
Jan 17 Dorados vs Mineros d… 2-1
Jan 11 Dorados vs CancĂşn 3-1
Nov 09 Dorados vs TapatĂ­o 4-1
Oct 26 Dorados vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Oct 18 Dorados vs Correcami… 1-0
Oct 12 Dorados vs Atlante FC 0-0
Oct 05 Dorados vs Leones Ne… 2-0
Sep 28 Dorados vs CDS Tampi… 2-3
Sep 21 Dorados vs Alebrijes… 1-2
Tepatitlán Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 2-0
Jan 18 Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampi… 0-1
Jan 11 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-1
Nov 23 Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampi… 1-0
Nov 21 Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampi… 0-1
Nov 15 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-1
Nov 13 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-0
Nov 01 Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz 0-1
Oct 25 Tepatitlán vs Alebrijes… 1-1
Oct 18 Tepatitlán vs Cancún 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 23, 2025 Tepatitlán 3 - 0 Dorados Liga de Expans…
Mar 16, 2025 Dorados 1 - 0 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Sep 28, 2024 Tepatitlán 1 - 1 Dorados Liga de Expans…
Jan 12, 2024 Tepatitlán 2 - 0 Dorados Liga de Expans…
Sep 10, 2023 Dorados 1 - 2 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Mar 02, 2023 Dorados 2 - 1 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Jun 27, 2022 Tepatitlán 2 - 0 Dorados Liga de Expans…
Feb 16, 2022 Tepatitlán 2 - 0 Dorados Liga de Expans…
Dec 05, 2021 Dorados 1 - 0 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Dec 02, 2021 Tepatitlán 0 - 1 Dorados Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dorados Power 0
Tepatitlán Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Dorados Position

-5

Position Gap

2

Tepatitlán Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.