AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de Expansión MX Nov 30, 2025

Irapuato

Home
VS
01:00

CDS Tampico Madero

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Irapuato Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
CDS Tampico Madero Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.84 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.7
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Irapuato Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
CDS Tampico Madero Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Irapuato Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Irapuato vs Monarcas 1-1
Nov 20 Irapuato vs Monarcas 0-0
Nov 16 Irapuato vs Mineros d… 2-2
Nov 13 Irapuato vs Mineros d… 1-1
Nov 08 Irapuato vs Mineros d… 2-2
Nov 01 Irapuato vs Tapatío 2-1
Oct 25 Irapuato vs CA La Paz 2-2
Oct 19 Irapuato vs Monarcas 0-3
Oct 11 Irapuato vs Cancún 0-0
Oct 04 Irapuato vs Correcami… 4-1
CDS Tampico Madero Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 CDS Tampi… vs Tepatitlán 1-0
Nov 21 CDS Tampi… vs Tepatitlán 0-1
Nov 17 CDS Tampi… vs Leones Ne… 4-1
Nov 14 CDS Tampi… vs Leones Ne… 1-0
Nov 09 CDS Tampi… vs Monarcas 0-0
Nov 02 CDS Tampi… vs Alebrijes… 3-1
Oct 24 CDS Tampi… vs Venados FC 1-1
Oct 19 CDS Tampi… vs CA La Paz 3-2
Oct 16 CDS Tampi… vs Mineros d… 2-2
Oct 11 CDS Tampi… vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • CDS Tampico Madero in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2025 Irapuato 1 - 1 CDS Tampico Madero Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Irapuato Power 0
CDS Tampico Madero Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Irapuato Position

+1

Position Gap

14

CDS Tampico Madero Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.