AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Mineiro - 1 Feb 02, 2025

Democrata GV

Home
VS
18:00

Pouso Alegre

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Democrata GV Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Pouso Alegre Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.64 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.7
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Democrata GV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Pouso Alegre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Democrata GV Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Democrata… vs Tombense 0-1
Feb 18 Democrata… vs Cruzeiro 1-3
Feb 14 Democrata… vs Pouso Ale… 1-0
Feb 07 Democrata… vs Tombense 2-2
Jan 24 Democrata… vs Itabirito 1-3
Feb 20 Democrata… vs Pouso Ale… 1-0
Feb 11 Democrata… vs América M… 2-1
Feb 03 Democrata… vs Athletic … 1-1
Apr 03 Democrata… vs Tombense 1-0
Feb 19 Democrata… vs Athletic … 1-0
Pouso Alegre Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Pouso Ale… vs Atletico-… 0-0
Jan 18 Pouso Ale… vs Athletic … 0-1
Mar 28 Pouso Ale… vs Athletic … 3-0
Mar 23 Pouso Ale… vs Athletic … 1-3
Mar 16 Pouso Ale… vs Itabirito 5-2
Mar 10 Pouso Ale… vs Itabirito 4-1
Feb 25 Pouso Ale… vs Cruzeiro 0-2
Feb 17 Pouso Ale… vs Athletic … 4-1
Feb 14 Pouso Ale… vs Democrata… 1-0
Feb 08 Pouso Ale… vs Itabirito 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Democrata GV struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Pouso Alegre struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 14, 2024 Pouso Alegre 1 - 0 Democrata GV Mineiro - 1
Feb 20, 2023 Democrata GV 1 - 0 Pouso Alegre Mineiro - 1
Feb 05, 2022 Democrata GV 1 - 0 Pouso Alegre Mineiro - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Democrata GV to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Democrata GV Power 0
Pouso Alegre Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Democrata GV Position

0

Position Gap

3

Pouso Alegre Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.