AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Mato-Grossense Second Division Jul 31, 2025

Chapada

Home
VS
20:00

Operário-PR

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Chapada Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Operário-PR Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.67 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.4
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chapada Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Operário-PR Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Chapada Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 24 Chapada vs Operário-… 1-1
Jul 19 Chapada vs Chapecoen… 0-2
Operário-PR Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 26 Operário-… vs Ferroviár… 0-0
Jul 24 Operário-… vs Chapada 1-1
Jul 22 Operário-… vs Athletico… 3-0
Jul 17 Operário-… vs CRB 1-1
Jul 11 Operário-… vs Vila Nova 0-0
Jul 07 Operário-… vs Chapecoen… 1-2
Jun 29 Operário-… vs Volta Red… 1-0
Jun 23 Operário-… vs Novorizon… 2-0
Jun 14 Operário-… vs Athletic … 2-1
Jun 08 Operário-… vs Remo 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 24, 2025 Operário-PR 1 - 1 Chapada Mato-Grossense…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Chapada to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chapada Power 0
Operário-PR Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.