Paulista - A3 · Apr 09, 2025 22:00
SertĂŁozinho
PWR 39
Monte Azul
PWR 43
SertĂŁozinho
PWR 39
3 - 1
FT
Monte Azul
PWR 43
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: SertĂŁozinho to win (83% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
83%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (23%)
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack30
Defense63
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.1
Attack70
Defense30
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G2.0
SertĂŁozinho Form
LWDWD
STABLE
Monte Azul Form
WDDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.518%
BTTS13%
Under 2.582%
SertĂŁozinho Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Monte Azul Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
SertĂŁozinhovs
0.20
Monte AzulDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
SertĂŁozinho+10
Gap#22
Monte Azul
WR 21% 15 pts
WR 25% 5 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SertĂŁozinho | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 15 |
| Monte Azul | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
SertĂŁozinho
12.0%
| Apr 04 | SertĂŁoz… v MarcĂli… | 1-0 |
| Mar 29 | SertĂŁoz… v MarcĂli… | 2-0 |
| Mar 26 | Sertãoz… v Catandu… | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Sertãoz… v Catandu… | 0-2 |
| Mar 15 | Sertãoz… v Bandeir… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Sertãoz… v Rio Pre… | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Sertãoz… v Monte A… | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Sertãoz… v São Ber… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Sertãoz… v Grêmio … | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Sertãoz… v Votupor… | 3-0 |
Monte Azul
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Monte A… v EC Leme… | 4-2 |
| Mar 09 | Monte A… v XV de J… | 2-2 |
| Mar 05 | Monte A… v Sertãoz… | 1-1 |
| Oct 12 | Monte A… v Votupor… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Monte A… v Votupor… | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Monte A… v XV de P… | 4-2 |
| Feb 21 | Monte A… v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Feb 10 | Monte A… v São Jos… | 0-2 |
| Mar 05 | Monte A… v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Monte A… v XV de P… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Mar 05, 2025 | Monte Azul | 1-1 | SertĂŁozinho |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.